EURO-ECO 2011Hanover21 - 22 November 2011 |
Environmental, Engineering - Economic and Legal Aspects for Sustainable Living |
European Academy of Natural Sciences, HanoverEuropean Scientific Society, HanoverUniversity of Bremen, Bremen |
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| I.V. Lantsova | ECOLOGICAL RISKS AND ECOLOGICAL-SEISMIC SAFETY |
| JSC “PNIIIS”, Moscow, Russia |
Recently in a society comprehension of vital importance and a sharpness of environmental problems which actually accompany all natural-anthropogenous processes at last began to become stronger. In offered work possible kinds of the ecological risks connected with seismicity of territories, their potential danger and prevention possibility are considered.
All natural processes share on endogenous, caused internal forces of the Earth, and exogenous, connected with external factors. The brightest display of tectonic motions is the seismic activity shown in the form of earthquakes of various activity.
Seismic danger is treated by experts, as probability of display of seismic influences of certain intensity on the set area during the set interval of time. Seismic processes are characterized by various capacity, and, hence, and different activity of their displays that is expressed in points of seismic intensity, in the amplitudes of fluctuations of a ground used at designing of buildings and constructions.
Seismicity of territory is defined by intensity of course endogenous processes which, in turn, make active also set dangerous exogenous processes (geological, hydrological, geomorphological etc.). In this connection there are various kinds of the potential dangers, different object of defeat and characterized by various intensity and display degree.
Seismic activity concerns a category of natural risks which depending on its intensity provoke technogenic, natural and ecological dangers. At display of seismic activity all anthropogenous both natural objects and territories are exposed to influence. Character of display can be to straight lines (direct destruction of object of seismic influence) and indirect or mediated (occurrence of emergencies and activization dangerous activation of dangerous exogenous processes provoked by seismic activity and destruction of objects of seismic influence).
At seismic influence there is a weight of ecological consequences of various intensity, level of the changed or changeable geoecosystems and their ecological condition. Thus potential ecological danger is caused as at seismic influence on natural geoecosystems, and at infringement of technogenic geosystems.
The probability and scales of the ecological risks arising at activization of seismic activity, sharply increase depending on objects of display of influence of seismic activity. So, the most scale and heavy ecological consequences are marked at seismic influence on industrial targets and territories.
Ecological risks are classified on scale (global, regional, local) and display degrees (the insignificant and raised ecological danger, extremely dangerous, ecological disaster), to object of influence (separate components of environment, ecosystem and ecosystem elements as a whole etc.), durations of a brave situation, influence kinds on the nature and the person, degrees of an admissibility and forecasting, prevention possibility.
Ecological risks can be shown in various forms, on all taxonomic levels of geoecosystems and mention any components of environment. One of forms of display of ecological risk is loss or change of separate properties and qualities of components and-or objects of the nature. Thus depending on character and intensity of changes of a consequence can be from insignificant to catastrophic.
Potential ecological danger is formed as a result of infringement of the natural and technical geosystems leading to sharp deterioration of a condition of inhabitancy of live organisms and, in particular, of the person. From these positions display of ecological consequences of seismic activity is shown as follows:
Owing to an occurrence high probability at seismic activity of heavy ecological consequences for life and health of people authors offer to enter concept «ecological-seismic safaty». Ecological-seismic safaty – a direction in the seismology, allowing to estimate ecological consequences of seismic activity of territories and to develop recommendations about decrease in ecological risks and damages.
The direction ecological-seismic safaty is included by drawing up of the forecast of possibility of occurrence of ecological consequences of technogenic and natural genesis, definition of their character and an orientation and working out of recommendations about decrease in ecological risks in seismodangerous regions at design stages, building and operation of objects.
Apparently from definition, ecological-seismic safaty consists of several large-size blocks of researches, namely: