EURO-ECO 2010Hanover2 - 3 Dezember 2010 |
Environmental, Engineering - Economic and Legal Aspects for Sustainable Living |
European Academy of Natural Sciences, HanoverEuropean Scientific Society, HanoverUniversity of Bremen, Bremen |
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| Iryna Ustinova | MANAGEMENT OF TERRITORIAL DEVELOPMENT IN THE CONTEXT OF SUSTAINABILITY |
| Kiev National University of Construction and Architecture, Kiev, Ukraine |
Searching for the solution to the problems of environmental safety is associated nowadays with the answering the question of sustainable development. There are two points of view on “stability” at present: “economic and environmental”. It is a consequence of the current state of science, where the change of the paradigm mentality is happening. The ecological crisis of the depletion of the planet’s resources forces to refuse from the quantitatively oriented economic paradigm, which is based on the striving to increase the level of consumption by as many people as possible. It will change to environmental quantitatively oriented paradigm, which emanates from the necessity to ensure the human survival in the environmental conditions, influenced by human’s activity. Such state of social sciences at the beginning of the XXI century, reminds the situation in physics at the beginning of the XX century, when it changed its conceptual framework and the classical physics was supplemented with quantum physics.
Biosphere doctrine is certainly a basis of ecological world outlook. This theory is developed from the ecosystem self-regulation concept. According to the concept each territory has certain demographic capacity. The reserve of the territory (“underpopulation”) determines the growth and its exhaustion (overpopulation) causes the reduction. The notions “demographic explosion”, “environmental crisis”, “depopulation” and “multitude stabilization” represent different stages of the “Population-Environment”-ecosystem development. State of ecological equilibrium of this system can be described by means of the proportion 1:1 (quantity to capacity). Studies have shown that the mentioned regularity determines also the development of urban areas as urban ecological systems. In this aspect the development of territories becomes purposeful and predictable and, therefore, controlled process with the set-up parameters of the goal, which means sustained development in the range of the equilibrium. This regularity is also characteristic for the so-called “demographic transition” phenomenon, which humanity now experiences.
The “better” criterion is missing in the development of ecosystem, as it is in any oscillatory process. There is only rhythm of the state-to-state transition, more or less tension, speed and potential; means energy of development. As is known, there are two “great formulas” for the determination of energy in physics. The first is Einstein’s formula. The second is Planck’s formula. The resorting to the physics is not incidental here. The growth dynamics of the quantity on the early stages of the eco- and demosystem development is similar to the energy growth as in the physical law E = mC2. Development stage of the ecological balance and after the completion of demographic transition, is similar to the energy growth as in the physical law E = hν.
Analogy between population growth and a body weight in physics of relativism is confirmed by the phenomenological theory of Kapitsa. According to this theory the population growth has the explosive and hyperbolic nature. “Escalation because of the speed” occurs in the theory of relativity. “Escalation because of the time” occurs in the phenomenological theory. Conformity between the relativistic and quantum mechanics, and the transition to quantum knowledge occurs under the condition when the continuity of a system’s change is determined by the quantum conditions. In the case of population growth it occurs when the time of the system’s change becomes commeasurable to the human time. Ratio 1:1 obtains timelike dimensions and the characteristic of synchronicity. In conditions of “time compression” the self-similarity of development is broken, and the demographic system obtains unsteady state.
And, yet, there is hope. It is generally known, that a new look at a World changes it?!
Based on the above, the national strategies of ecological safety, balanced and sustainable development should be developed with consideration of the natural potential of the region growth of “young ecological ages”, which have the demographic capacity. Such territories were identified for Ukraine in the course of the research of opportunities, directions and parameters of its sustainable development.
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