EURO-ECO 2009 Hanover 3 - 4 Dezember 2009	Environmental, Engineering - Economic and Legal Aspects for Sustainable Living
	European Academy of Natural Sciences, Hanover European Scientific Society, Hanover University of Bremen, Bremen

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Abstracts EURO-ECO 2009

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The methodological foundation of report is a general theory of systems. Based on this theory, the processes of systems evolution are described mathematically. These models allow one to investigate general-system, global regularities of processes of sustainable development of systems taking into account ecological, industrial and economical factors. Formal conceptual models of minimal complexity degree are developed in order to reveal the fundamental universal properties and characteristics of systems. Aggregate macro-variables that integrally describe the states of systems are considered as characteristics of mathematical models. According to Bor’ complimentary principle, it is supposed that application of these canonical models, interacting with detailed description of particular processes specificity represent constructive approach.

Formalization of evolutional development mechanisms for energy supply systems is performed based on Moiseev’ concept of universal evolutionism. Dynamical mathematical models are created on the basis of neoclassical approaches. Solutions of stated problems are obtained analytically using asymptotical methods of perturbation theory. The numerical computations are also used to obtain these solutions. Puankare’ methods for qualitative investigation of dynamic systems are applied to carry out the formal solution analysis. Lyapunov’ approaches of control theory and methods of Prigozhin’ non-equilibrium thermodynamic is used for investigation of stability of evolutional development processes.

Exploration of processes of self-regulation, self-development and controllability of energy supply systems is conducted in the extended state spaces. Analysis of instability, uncertainty and unpredictability of these systems behavior is performed on the basis of Uitni’ theory of peculiarities, Tom-Arnold’ theory of catastrophes and Phejgenbaum’ theory of universal transition to chaos. Results of mathematical simulation and system analysis of evolutional processes are interpreted (from conceptual point of view) as formation of strategy and scenario variants for control of sustainable development of energy supply systems. Interrelated complementary set of stated fundamental conceptual assertions represents methodological basis of proposed report.